Skrim, my problem with your definition is that, towards the end of your original post, you called the ducks a FORMERLY strong(which by your definition means reliable) team. From a reliability standpoint, I don't think much has changed. I think we still do the same events now as we did before. If there are any specifics you'd like to talk about concerning this, please, send me a pm. I don't really want to clutter up this forum with this topic.
Swiftpaw, I might be a little weird in this regard, but when I said fun pub match, I meant a pub match where I can experiment. It needs to be a lobby where the players are good enough so that I'm not annoyed by them. but the players can't be too good either. If they're too good I'd have to try too hard to win, which means I won't have the flexibility to experiment. To me, pub matches are all about experimentation, and introducing new players to the game.
Wundsalz, I didn't think that the third team ever actually competed, those were pretty hectic times though, so I could have missed/forgotten it. But, regardless, It would have been a VERY brief spike. As for only having one team currently competing, well, this is why I called the original post too narrow. When you're taking the entire history of competitive GoIo into account, you're going to see spikes and fluctuations. If we want to help the competitive seen, we need to be able to see through those fluctuations and identify any underlying problems, if there are any. Now, I don't think that the league format that you suggest would work for very long, you'd get the same few teams competing against each other repeatedly, which would get boring really quickly and wouldn't really help newer teams grow because of that repetition. (Which might have been seen in an old version of cogs, I'd have to double check that though)
I think in general, having a separate tournament for newer players is a bad idea. Just like what's currently happening in novice matches, you'll probably see them start to specialize in builds that wouldn't work in higher tier competitive matches. I think that our goal, as a community, should be to get these new teams ready for real competitive matches. I think we can all agree, that the more good competitive teams we get, the better the competitive scene (and this game) will be. So, how do we get more teams up to a competitive level?