Sky League Tipping Thread

[Sammy B. T.]

C
Match 1 Thrall beats TAW 5-3
Match 2 Clamour beats Iris 5-3
Match 3 Clamour beats Thrall 5-4
Match 4 Iris beats TAW 5-2
Match 5 Thralls beats Iris 5-3


D
Match 1 MAG beats PI, PI no show
Match 2 Mandarins beats Clockwork 5-0
Match 3 Mandarins beat MAG 5-0
Match 4 No match, Clock advances
Match 5 Clock beats MAG 5-4


E
Match 1 Hatters beat Cupcake 5-0
Match 2 BFS beats VOLWe 5-2
Match 3 Gents beat Hatters 5-4
Match 4 Gents beat BFS 5-3
Match 5 VOLWe beats Cupcake 5-4
Match 6 Hatters beats VOLWe 5-2
Match 7 BFS beats Hatters 5-1

[Mattilald Anguisad]

I'm so happy I don't have to keep score - so many predictions to go thru XD

[Thomas]

So what's going to happen to Group D? There was a replacement and a team fusion, more or less nullifying all the predictions (although technically I was right with 3 teams not showing. CC and MAG only had half a team each. ).

[redria]

As I mentioned before, I'm mostly away from internet for the next few days. I'll work on an answer and an appropriate point result. I have yet to watch games and as soon as I have an answer I'll let you know.

[Imagine]

Easiest way would be to just not count group D.

[Thomas]

Ah, well some more bad news. The group C matches were not recorded, although I think we can get most of the scores. ((Although I still think that match 4 should have ended differently due to the time, but I have no way of proving that now. XD))

From what I recall

Match 2 - IRIS beats Clamour 5-0
Match 4 - Clamour Beats TAW 5-4
Match 5 - Clamour Beats IRIS 5-4

[N-Sunderland]

When you take into account that MAC basically replaced MAG and CC was counted as a forfeit, the results look like this:

D1: Muse def. MAC 5-0
D2: Mandarins def. CC 0-0
D3: Mandarins def. Muse 5-0
D4: MAC def. CC 0-0
D5: Muse def. MAC 5-0

So you could say that MAC counts as MAG, which means that a score of 3.3 is the maximum.

Or as Imagine said you could go ahead and not count it, which would probably make more sense.

[N-Sunderland]

Not quite, Thomas. Clamour went down 3-5 against IRIS the first time around. Here are the full results:

C1: GwTh def. TAW 5-0
C2: IRIS def. Clamour 5-3
C3: GwTh def. IRIS 5-0
C4: Clamour def. TAW 5-4
C5: Clamour def. IRIS 5-4

Also apparently The Clamour won their TAW match with 18 seconds left on the timer.

[Mattilald Anguisad]

Congrats to TAW for their preformance despite playing with incomplete team (they had a guy with 15 matches and an AI on 1 ship, becouse they had 3 no shows on their team). TAW got near defeating Clamour (If I understand correctly understand has a benefit of being Ducks - and thus have a lot of very experienced players to coach any new team formed within) - and I'm pretty sure TAW were still the greatest underdogs in C bracket.

[Thomas]

Ah, ty ty. I mixed up Match 1 and 2.

I still have my doubts on the timer, but even if I'm right, it's the ref's call.

[Mr. Ace Rimmer]

Round 0

Overwatch beat FTK 2-0 (5-4, 5-3)

Clamour beat Muse 2-1 (4-5, 5-4, 5-0)

[Alistair MacBain]

OVW beats FTK 2-1 (5-3, 4-5, 5-4)
Clam beats Muse 2-0 (5-2, 5-3)

[Thomas]

Hm. This is a tough one. Normally I'd go for an overwhelming victory to Overwatch, but FTK showed a lot more ability than most people gave them credit for in the first grouping. Still, I'm not sure it will be enough to win against Overwatch, as they had to kick and claw their way through possibly the toughest Group to get into the brackets.

How's this scoring going to work? 1 for picking the right winner, 0.1 for the right matches won (2-0 or 2-1) , and another 0.1 for each correct match score?

OVW beats FTK 2-0 (5-2, 5-3)


Muse actually has a pretty strong team, however they're a little busy to practice regularly like most of the teams. If they had more open maps, I would have given them the win, as those are the maps they tend to be good at. But I suspect that Bubble's spire is just going to get wrecked on these close range maps.

Clam beats Muse 2-0 (5-3, 5-3)

[redria]

I am going to have to spend some serious time going through things. Yay changes!

To give you an idea of what I am probably going to do...
Since I gave you the option of predicting no-shows, I have to give points to those who predicted correctly. I will pretend that the bracket ran as planned and no changes were made. Points will be awarded appropriately.
Then, I am going to run a phantom bracket based on the changes that will do effectively nothing. I am going to assume that nobody would predict a newer team to beat either Muse or the Mandarins, and I'm going to assume that nobody would predict Muse to beat the mandarins. So I am basically going to give everyone some points for correctly predicting that muse beats the new team, is beat by the mandarins, and beats the new team again. So yeah. Makes sense to me.

Regarding moving forwards.... Crap.
If every matchup is worth 1 point (not every battle) then we have already distributed a majority of the points. Which makes the group stage worth about as much as the rest of the tournament combined. Which sucks.
Unless anyone disagrees, I will make each battle worth 1 point. This means in a best of 3, a 2-0 can only give 2 points, while a 2-1 can give 3 points. So correctly predicting a closer match is more rewarding. This also makes the later rounds of the tournament worth more.
As always, you are only rewarded for correct guesses, no punished for incorrect guesses. If you predict a match going to the 3rd round and it doesn't you won't be punished.

[redria]

Group C:

-Match 1:	Glowwater Thralls	def	The Art of Warfare	on	Northern Fjords	5-0
-Match 2:	The IRIS Fleet	def	The Clamour	on	Canyon Ambush	5-3
-Match 3:	Glowwater Thralls	def	The IRIS Fleet	on	Duel at Dawn	5-0
-Match 4:	The Clamour	def	The Art of Warfare	on	Battle on the Dunes	5-4
-Match 5:	The Clamour	def	The IRIS Fleet	on	Paritan Rumble	5-4

Group D:

-Match 1:	---	def	---	on	Northern Fjords	0-0
-Match 2:	The Mandarins	def	---	on	Duel at Dawn	0-0
-Match 3:	The Mandarins	def	---	on	Canyon Ambush	0-0
-Match 4:	---	def	---	on	Battle on the Dunes	0-0
-Match 5:	---	def	---	on	Paritan Rumble	0-0

Group D (Revised):

-Match 1:	Museosaurs	def	Mothers against Clockwork	on	Northern Fjords	5-0
-Match 2:	The Mandarins	def	Museosaurs	on	Duel at Dawn	5-0
-Match 3:	Museosaurs	def	Mothers against Clockwork	on	Canyon Ambush	5-0

Group E:

-Match 1:	Mad Hatters	def	The Cupcake Bandits	on	Canyon Ambush	5-0
-Match 2:	Black Flight Squadron	def	VOLWe	on	Duel at Dawn	5-1
-Match 3:	The Gents	def	Mad Hatters	on	Paritan Rumble	5-2
-Match 4:	The Gents	def	Black Flight Squadron	on	Northern Fjords/Duel at Dawn	4-3
-Match 5:	The Cupcake Bandits	def	VOLWe	on	Battle on the Dunes	5-4
-Match 6:	Mad Hatters	def	The Cupcake Bandits	on	Canyon Ambush	5-0
-Match 7:	Mad Hatters	def	Black Flight Squadron	on	Duel at Dawn	5-4

Current Standings

redria	-	19.3	-	(5 + 14.3)
Sammy B. T.	-	19.1	-	(8 + 11.1)
Mr. Ace Rimmer	-	17.1	-	(4 + 13.1)
Alistair MacBain	-	22.2	-	(9.2 + 13)
Thomas	-	23.3	-	(6 + 17.3)
N-Sunderland	-	22.3	-	(9.2 + 13.1)
Skrimskraw	-	6	-	(3 + 3)
Allien'	-	22.6	-	(6.3 + 16.3)
Captain Smollett	-	19.3	-	(6.2 + 13.1)
Levi Mann	-	6	-	(3 + 3)

Notes:
Thomas and Allien' were the only 2 people to guess that more than one team from Group D would fail to show.
For matches with no winners (neither team shows) I awarded no points if you predicted a winner. Your predicted winner did not win. Sorry. 
Thomas's lack of faith in the new teams led to him correctly guessing every match in the group.
I did not give Thomas credit for guessing the correct score. I will only be awarding bonus points for guessing the correct score on matches that are actually played.
I assumed everyone would predict the outcome of D (revised) correctly and awarded everyone 3 points accordingly.
If you disagree and say you would have guessed differently, I will take away your points...
Allien' leads in guessing kill results correctly.