Sky League Tipping Thread

[redria]

Il raise the question, and get back to you redria

Awesome. Get your predictions in now guys and gals! If muse gets a prize or two for this, you want to be on top of this from day 1.

[GreyTea]

In terms of prizes the winner can receive costumes from the store of there choice ,

[Allien']

This is nice. I'm fairly new so i never saw this
There's a couple points that Skrim said and people should have in consideration when "tipping":
- Fancy Teamkillers is in fact Crimson's Sky Ryder second team, and they train a lot as well;
- Unfortunately our top pilot, Lueosi, is missing. We haven't had contact from him for about a week and we're worried
But we're still confident and we started practicing with a new pilot
 
Well, considering various things i also made my guess:

Bracket A:
-Match 1: Fancy Teamkillers vs Merry Men = 5-4 on Paritan Rumble
-Match 2: Holy Celestium vs Serra's Sentinals= 5-0 on Duel at Dawn
-Match 3: Fancy Teamkillers vs Holy Celestium = 5-4 on Northern Fjords
-Match 4: Merry Men vs Serra's Sentinals = 5-0 on Canyon Ambush
-Match 5: Holy Celestium vs Merry Men = 2-5 on Battle on the Dunes

Bracket B:
-Match 1: Sky Invading Rhinos vs Sacrilege = 5-2 on Duel At Dawn
-Match 2: Crimson Sky Riders vs Overwatch = 5-4 on Battle on the Dunes
-Match 3: Sky Invading Rhinos VS Crimson Sky Riders= 3-5 on Paritan Rumble
-Match 4: Sacrilege VS Overwatch = 2-5 on Canyon Ambush
-Match 5: Sky Invading Rhinos vs Overwatch = 4-5 on Northern Fjords

Bracket A: I fell a bit sad by the fact i'm not really giving credit to Holy, they're in fact training hard and they actually have potencial

  Match 1:  Merry man is very good, its going to be hard for FTK, but i'm sure they'll do their best
  Match 2: Holy will come out on top. I don't know Sierra's and actually never saw or played  with a member.
  Match 3: Its not like i'm going to say Holy is going to win against my friends But i still feel like giving credit to them;
  Match 4: For reasons previously mentioned
  Match 5: Thought one. I do believe Merry Men has the experience required, so they'll will get this one;

Bracket B: Thought one. I love the clans here and i would hate to see them out of the League  <3

  Match 1: Both teams are very good at brawling, but in this one i'll give the upper hand to SIR.
  Match 2: OVW is practicing a lot lately, but so are we   Although our top pilot is missing, we'll definitely put a fight and come out on top. I do believe so:) 
  Match 3: SIR... Though job that one will be.
  Match 4: Need to support OVW on that one. <3
  Match 5: I wouldn't like to see SIR out of this, but i have to take a guess

Have fun everyone o/

[Hunter.]

This thread has got me hyped out of my mind for tomorrows games :O Group B is going to be so damn close!

[Captain Smollett]

A1 FTK beats MM 5-4
A2 Holy Beats SSnt 5-2
A3 FTK beats Holy 5-2
A4 MM Beats SSnt 5-0
A5 MM Beats Holy 5-4

B1 SIR beats SAC 5-3
B2 CSR beats OVW 5-4
B3 CSR beats SIR 5-2
B4 OVW beats SAC 5-3
B5 OVW beats SIR 5-3

[Sammy B. T.]

Who wins MM vs Holy Smollet? Also for your B5 I think you meant to say that SIR beats OVW

[Levi mann]

A1: MM beats FTK 5-2
A2: Holy beats SS 5-3
A3: FTK beats SS 5-3
A4: MM beat Holy 5-4
A5: Holy beats FTK 5-4

B1: SAC beats SIR 5-3
B2: Ovw beats CSR 5-4
B3: SIR beats CSR 5-2
B4: Ovw beats SAC 5-4
B5: SAC beats SIR 5-2

[Thomas]

I felt like updating this from boredom. Since it's about 5 AM, you should probably double check my math. It's actually kind of interesting seeing how getting one early match wrong can make everything that follows wrong. I didn't add in a 0.1 if you got the score right, but picked the wrong winners.


Results:

A1: MM wins against FTK 5-4
A2: Holy wins against Serra 0-0
A3: Holy wins against MM 5-0
A4: FTK wins against Serra 0-0
A5: FTK wins against MM 5-0

B1: SIR wins against SAC 5-2
B2: CSR wins against OVW 5-4
B3: CSR wins against SIR 5-3
B4: OVW wins against SAC 5-3
B5: OVW wins against SIR 5-1


Points:
Redria - 4
Sammy B.T. - 4
Mr. Ace Rimmer - 4
Alistair MacBain - 8.2
Thomas - 5
N-Sunderland - 8.2
Skrimskraw - 3
Allien'- 6.3
Captain Smollett - 6.2
Levi Mann - 3



Comments:

Really interesting. Almost everyone bet the same way for Group A, and no one got it  completely correct. Although I came pretty darn close. Kinda. I did drop the ball quite hard for B though. There was actually a few people that it got all of B correct, and kudos to them, especially Alistair and Sunderland for getting some scores spot on, although Alien' got the most correct score predictions.

I do think Levi got some of his matches mixed up. It's supposed to be winners in match three, and losers (I don't want to call them that, but they did lose their first match) in match 4. According to his predictions, he swapped 3 and 4. I gave him the benefit of the doubt and gave him a point for predicting correctly, even though it was in the wrong place, only to find that in the next group he still had them flipped, but would have been correct. So flip 'em or don't flip 'em, he still got that point.

Really looking forward to next weekend, I'll have to a better job of guessing. xD

[Alistair MacBain]

Got the same result Thomas. Seems time doesnt affect you to hard in your math ^^.

Redria - 4
Sammy B. T. - 4
Mr. Ace Rimmer - 4
Alistair MacBain - 8.2
Thomas - 5
N-Sunderland - 8.2
Skrimskraw - 3
Allien' - 6.3
Captain Smollet - 6.2
Levi Mann - 3



And yes its really interesting how a wrong match in the earlier matches affects the rest of the bracket.
I think Thomas was the only one with the correct winner of A3. Lets see how the future groups affect this scoring.

[N-Sunderland]

Back when we did the Flotsam tipping thread we made it so that getting the winner of a match correct was all you needed, so getting a match wrong early on didn't destroy your score. But I'm not going to complain about that seeing as tied for the lead anyways

[redria]

Close guys, but not quite. Let me share 2 posts from the Flotsam Dynasty, and if everyone disagrees, we can switch back.
N-Sunderland asking about whether you get a point for correctly guessing a winner, or only for guessing both winner and loser
Captain Smollet saying no double jeopardy: Points are awarded for guessing the winner
With this in mind, As long as your pick was the winner, the team they beat doesn't matter. I will have the OP updated with this note along with all the new fun stuff.

Bracket A:

-Match 1:	Zill's Merry Men	def	Fancy Teamkillers	on	Paritan Rumble	5-4
-Match 2:	Serra's Sentinals	forfeit to	Holy Celestium	on	Duel at Dawn	0-0
-Match 3:	Holy Celestium	def	Zill's Merry Men	on	Northern Fjords	5-0
-Match 4:	Serra's Sentinals	forfeit to	Fancy Teamkillers	on	Canyon Ambush	0-0
-Match 5:	Fancy Teamkillers	def	Zill's Merry Men	on	Battle on the Dunes	5-0

Bracket B:

-Match 1:	Sky Invading Rhinos	def	Sacrilege	on	Duel at Dawn	5-2
-Match 2:	Crimson Sky Riders	def	Overwatch	on	Battle on the Dunes	5-4
-Match 3:	Crimson Sky Riders	def	Sky Invading Rhinos	on	Paritan Rumble	5-3
-Match 4:	Overwatch	def	Sacrilege	on	Canyon Ambush	5-3
-Match 5:	Overwatch	def	Sky Invading Rhinos	on	Northern Fjords	5-1

Forfeit counts as a loss.

Current Standings
redria - 4
Sammy B. T. - 7
Mr. Ace Rimmer - 4
Alistair MacBain - 9.2
Thomas - 6
N-Sunderland - 9.2
Skrimskraw - 3
Allien' - 6.3
Captain Smollet - 6.2
Levi Mann - 3

[redria]

March 29, 2014:
Bracket C:

-Match 1:	Glowwater Thralls	vs	The Art of Warfare	on	Northern Fjords
-Match 2:	The IRIS Fleet	vs	The Clamour	on	Canyon Ambush
-Match 3:	Winner of Match 1	vs	Winner of Match 2	on	Duel at Dawn
-Match 4:	Loser of Match 1	vs	Loser of Match 2	on	Battle on the Dunes
-Match 5:	Loser of Match 3	vs	Winner of Match 4	on	Paritan Rumble

Bracket D:

-Match 1:	Phalanx Infamia	vs	Mothers Against Gaming	on	Northern Fjords
-Match 2:	The Mandarins	vs	Clockwork Cavalry	on	Duel at Dawn
-Match 3:	Winner of Match 1	vs	Winner of Match 2	on	Canyon Ambush
-Match 4:	Loser of Match 1	vs	Loser of Match 2	on	Battle on the Dunes
-Match 5:	Loser of Match 3	vs	Winner of Match 4	on	Paritan Rumble

Bracket E:

-Match 1:	Mad Hatters	vs	The Cupcake Bandits	on	Canyon Ambush
-Match 2:	VOLWe	vs	Black Flight Squadron	on	Duel at Dawn
-Match 3:	The Gents	vs	Winner of Match 1	on	Paritan Rumble
-Match 4:	Winner of Match 2	vs	Winner of Match 3	on	Northern Fjords
-Match 5:	Loser of Match 1	vs	Loser of Match 2	on	Battle on the Dunes
-Match 6:	Loser of Match 3	vs	Winner of Match 5	on	Canyon Ambush
-Match 7:	Loser of Match 4	vs	Winner of Match 6	on	Duel at Dawn

Current Standings

Alistair MacBain	-	9.2
N-Sunderland	-	9.2
Sammy B. T.	-	7
Allien'	-	6.3
Captain Smollet	-	6.2
Thomas	-	6
redria	-	4
Mr. Ace Rimmer	-	4
Skrimskraw	-	3
Levi Mann	-	3

[N-Sunderland]

Hmm... Can we get a 0.1 point bonus if we correctly call a no-show? For example "Holy def. Serra (no-show)" would basically be the equivalent of predicting the score.

[redria]

My triple post got sniped out by Sunderland. Aw.
If you predict a no-show/forfeit, your predicted score would be 0-0. Similar to how me and Ace predicted an overtime victory (dumb) by having our scores cap out at 3-2. Since the score would technically be 0-0, you would be given the 0.1 bonus. So yes, but do it by giving a score, not by guessing no show. Because as I heard it, SS was around, but only had 1 ship, so forfeited. If someone had guessed no-show, and I had confirmation that that was the case, I would (probably) not give the bonus (no-show =/= forfeit). 

Note for this round - There are a lot of new teams with no clan tag yet, and several clans with multiple teams. I made up tags as I went. Long story short, sorry Clamour. 

C1: GwTh def TAW 5-1
C2: Clam def IRIS 5-1
C3: GwTh def Clam 5-4
C4: IRIS def TAW 5-1
C5: Clam def IRIS 5-3

D1: xPIx def MAG 5-3
D2: Duck def CC 5-0
D3: Duck def xPIx 5-0
D4: CC def MAG 5-3
D5: xPIx def CC 5-3

E1: MadH def TCCB 5-0
E2: BFS def VOLW 5-1
E3: Gent def MadH 5-3
E4: Gent def BFS 5-3
E5: VOLW def TCCB 5-3
E6: MadH def VOLW 5-1
E7: MadH def BFS 5-4

[Mr. Ace Rimmer]

I shall use Redria's tags.. (sorry Clamour)

C1: GwTh def TAW 5-3
C2: Clam def IRIS 5-3
C3: GwTh def Clam 5-4
C4: IRIS def TAW 5-2
C5: Clam def IRIS 5-3

D1: xPIx def MAG 5-1
D2: Duck def CC 5-2
D3: Duck def xPIx 5-2
D4: CC def MAG 5-4
D5: xPIx def CC 5-4

E1: MadH def TCCB 5-0
E2: BFS def VOLW 5-0
E3: Gent def MadH 5-4
E4: Gent def BFS 5-0
E5: VOLW def TCCB 5-2
E6: MadH def VOLW 5-3
E7: BFS def MadH 5-2