Off-Topic > The Lounge
Which way do you prefer your engineering tools?
Indreams:
Actually, you know what? I ran the Stats.
Assumptions
Simple Random Sample of Guns of Icarus Players (assuming that forum attendance has no influence on spanner-mallet, mallet-spanner preference).
n(p) > 10.
n(1-p) > 10.
Population of GOIO players are greater than 460.
Hypothesis
Ho: p = .33333
Ha: p > .33333
Where p is the true proportion of GOIO players who prefer spanner-mallet.
Calculations
z= (P^ - P) / sqrt( P(1 - P) / n ) = .3779644.
p value of .0722.
Conclusion
Since p value is less than .1 (hence marginally significant), I reject the Ho. There is sufficient evidence to suggest that the true proportion of GOIO players who prefer spanner mallet is greater than .333333.
This is a little confusing (even for me who is currently learning Statistics in school), and a slightly flawed here and there, but all of it summarized to suggest that there are more players who prefer spanner-mallet than the other two choices. So, spanner-mallet!
EDIT: as more people vote, my calculation will be off. The above was calculated when there were 20 spanner-mallet, 16 mallet-spanner, and 6 others. The null hypothesis was that all three categories were preferred equally.
Queso:
Of course, the assumption that players in the lounge spending time to answer this poll already biases these results to almost complete uselessness for the purposes of extrapolating to general population. However we can probably draw some more useful conclusions about the forum population's preferences. Generally forum users are older players/veterans. I think the default loadout these days is Mallet spanner when in earlier days it was the opposite. Can anyone confirm this?
MightyKeb:
--- Quote from: Queso on April 04, 2015, 01:16:14 am ---Of course, the assumption that players in the lounge spending time to answer this poll already biases these results to almost complete uselessness for the purposes of extrapolating to general population. However we can probably draw some more useful conclusions about the forum population's preferences. Generally forum users are older players/veterans. I think the default loadout these days is Mallet spanner when in earlier days it was the opposite. Can anyone confirm this?
--- End quote ---
I believe it is, I just picked up from novice and use mallet-spanner since.
Indreams:
--- Quote from: Queso on April 04, 2015, 01:16:14 am ---Of course, the assumption that players in the lounge spending time to answer this poll already biases these results to almost complete uselessness for the purposes of extrapolating to general population. However we can probably draw some more useful conclusions about the forum population's preferences. Generally forum users are older players/veterans. I think the default loadout these days is Mallet spanner when in earlier days it was the opposite. Can anyone confirm this?
--- End quote ---
And the null hypothesis is a little off too. The categories of "others" makes it a bit weird because, if we were to assume that players prefer all load outs equally, "others" would actually be several different load outs. And if we wanted to talk just strictly about spanner-mallet vs. mallet-spanner, "others" prevents that.
So, a little flawed (or maybe lot) stats. but yea.
When you create a recommended loadout, it defaults to mallet-spanner-extinguisher. When you first start playing, (I think) you get spanner-mallet-extinguisher. I think (maybe) players that joined after rec loadout began with recommended mallet-spanner, and players that joined before began with spanner-mallet.
Can anybody confirm my hypothesis?
MightyKeb:
--- Quote from: Indreams on April 04, 2015, 09:02:54 am ---
--- Quote from: Queso on April 04, 2015, 01:16:14 am ---Of course, the assumption that players in the lounge spending time to answer this poll already biases these results to almost complete uselessness for the purposes of extrapolating to general population. However we can probably draw some more useful conclusions about the forum population's preferences. Generally forum users are older players/veterans. I think the default loadout these days is Mallet spanner when in earlier days it was the opposite. Can anyone confirm this?
--- End quote ---
And the null hypothesis is a little off too. The categories of "others" makes it a bit weird because, if we were to assume that players prefer all load outs equally, "others" would actually be several different load outs. And if we wanted to talk just strictly about spanner-mallet vs. mallet-spanner, "others" prevents that.
So, a little flawed (or maybe lot) stats. but yea.
When you create a recommended loadout, it defaults to mallet-spanner-extinguisher. When you first start playing, (I think) you get spanner-mallet-extinguisher. I think (maybe) players that joined after rec loadout began with recommended mallet-spanner, and players that joined before began with spanner-mallet.
Can anybody confirm my hypothesis?
--- End quote ---
Like I said, I recall my default engi loadout being mallet-spanner. I myself have joined little after the glorious matchmaker update and all the other overhauls behind it, so that's likely when the mallet-spanner plauge religion began to spread.
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